ML4WX

Topics

Applications & impacts

ML weather or climate models applied to a sector: renewable energy, agriculture, health, insurance, aviation. The ML-for-weather part must be central.

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269 papers per year

★ Highlights

★ Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning

David Rolnick, Priya L. Donti, Lynn H. Kaack et al. · ACM Computing Surveys ·

Position paper surveying how machine learning can help climate change mitigation and adaptation across sectors such as energy and disaster management; not focused on weather or climate science.

ETH ZurichGoogle DeepMindGoogle ResearchLawrence Berkeley National Laboratory / NERSCMassachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)New York University (M2LInES)Stanford UniversityUniversity of California, Berkeley

All papers (269)

Using a hybrid approach for wind power forecasting in Northwestern Mexico

Yanet Díaz Esteban, C.A. Lopez-Villalobos, Instituto de Energías Renovables, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Privada Xochicalco s/n, Col. Azteca, 62588 Temixco, Morelos, México. et al. · Atmósfera ·

Hybrid WRF-plus-neural-network model forecasts 24-hour-ahead wind power at a northwestern Mexico farm, with 6.97% hourly NMAPE, outperforming decision trees and SVR.

Global solar radiation forecast using an ensemble learning approach

Debani Prasad Mishra, Subhrajit Jena, Rudranarayan Senapati et al. · International Journal of Power Electronics and Drive Systems/International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering ·

Random forest and XGBoost ensembles predict site-specific solar radiation from station weather forecast reports, then convert it to PV power output.

PREDICTION OF EVAPORATION FROM THE WATER SURFACE USING MACHINE LEARNING

Alessandro Brunovich Cavalli, Alexander Ivanovich Belolyubtsev, Anna Vladislavovna Belkova et al. · SCIENTIFIC LIFE ·

A neural ML method predicts pentad water-surface evaporation for rice fields from forecast temperature, wind and precipitation, aimed at medium-term agricultural planning.

Reconstruction of Long-Term Historical Demand Data

Reshmi Ghosh, Michael Craig, H. Scott Matthews et al. · Proceedings of the 38 th International Conference on Machine Learning, PMLR 139, 2021 ·

Machine and deep learning back-forecasting models reconstruct multidecadal US electricity demand records to separate temperature-driven natural variability from climate change effects.

Urban Climate Informatics: An Emerging Research Field

Ariane Middel, Negin Nazarian, Matthias Demuzere et al. · Frontiers in Environmental Science ·

Review introduces Urban Climate Informatics, combining new sensors, crowdsourced data and machine learning to study urban atmospheric states and climate.

Preliminary results on estimation of signal fading on telecommunication satellite telemetry signals with hybrid numerical weather prediction and artificial neural network approach under presence of aerosol effect

Arif Armağan Gözütok, Ümit Cezmi YILMAZ, Selman Demirel · International Journal of Satellite Communications and Networking ·

Feed-forward neural network driven by WRF rainfall output predicts rain attenuation fading on a geostationary satellite downlink during a dust-storm event.

Importance of Weather Conditions in a Flight Corridor

Gong Chen, Hartmut Fricke, Ostap Okhrin et al. · Stats ·

Compares kriging, RBF, neural network and tree interpolation of GFS weather to high resolution for flight trajectories, with the choice shaping trajectory optimization.

Solar power generation prediction based on deep Learning

Rui Chang, Lei Bai, Ching‐Hsien Hsu · Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments ·

Deep learning forecasts of solar power generation; the abstract is missing, so the weather-input role and horizon are unverified.

A Deep Neural Network Approach to Prediction of Rice Yields in China

부경대학교 지구환경시스템과학부 공간정보시스템공학전공 석사과정, Subin Cho, Nari Kim et al. · Journal of Climate Research ·

A deep neural network predicts Chinese rice yields from climate model data, improving correlation about 38.7% over multiple linear regression.

Forecasting Corn Yield with Machine Learning Ensembles

Mohsen Shahhosseini, Guiping Hu, Sotirios V. Archontoulis · Frontiers in Plant Science 11 (2020) 1120 ·

Ensemble ML models forecast county-level corn yields in three US states from in-season weather, achieving RRMSE 7.8% with forecasts possible by 1 June.

TOWARDS PREDICTING RICE LOSS DUE TO TYPHOONS IN THE PHILIPPINES

S. Boeke, Marc J. C. Van den Homberg, Aklilu Teklesadik et al. · ˜The œinternational archives of the photogrammetry, remote sensing and spatial information sciences/International archives of the photogrammetry, remote sensing and spatial information sciences ·

Support vector models predict typhoon-driven rice area loss in the Philippines from geographic and typhoon features, with regression MAE of 6.83 percentage points.

The future of forecasting for renewable energy

Conor Sweeney, Ricardo J. Bessa, Jethro Browell et al. · WIREs Energy and Environment ·

Reviews wind and solar energy forecasting; ML is not a main contribution and the focus is on energy.

★ Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning

David Rolnick, Priya L. Donti, Lynn H. Kaack et al. · ACM Computing Surveys ·

Position paper surveying how machine learning can help climate change mitigation and adaptation across sectors such as energy and disaster management; not focused on weather or climate science.

ETH ZurichGoogle DeepMindGoogle ResearchLawrence Berkeley National Laboratory / NERSCMassachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)New York University (M2LInES)Stanford UniversityUniversity of California, Berkeley

Machine Learning Nowcasting of PV Energy Using Satellite Data

Alejandro Catalina, Alberto Torres‐Barrán, Carlos M. Alaíz et al. · Neural Processing Letters ·

Applies machine learning to satellite data to nowcast photovoltaic energy output, linking cloud and irradiance nowcasting to solar power.

Deep Photovoltaic Nowcasting

Jinsong Zhang, Rodrigo Verschae, Shohei Nobuhara et al. · Solar Energy ·

Compares MLP, CNN and LSTM models using sky images to nowcast one-minute photovoltaic output; LSTM gives a 21% RMSE skill gain over persistence.

Grouped Gaussian Processes for Solar Power Prediction

Astrid Dahl, Edwin V. Bonilla · arXiv ·

Coupled Gaussian process priors improve multi-site solar power and wind speed forecasts, matching or beating benchmarks with better uncertainty quantification.

A Decision Support System for Wind Power Production

Ruggero Donida Labati, Angelo Genovese, Vincenzo Piuri et al. · IEEE Transactions on Systems Man and Cybernetics Systems ·

Neural-network decision support system calibrates weather forecasts for wind farm orography and predicts power output, improving prediction at ten real wind farms.

Also relevant (153)

Solar Irradiance Anticipative Transformer

Thomas M. Mercier, Tasmiat Rahman, Amin Sabet · arXiv ·

An anticipative vision transformer forecasts solar irradiance 15 minutes ahead from sky image sequences, reaching 21.45% forecast skill over smart persistence.

Nowcasting

Diagnosis and Classification of Typhoon-Associated Low-Altitude Turbulence Using HKO-TDWR Radar Observations and Machine Learning

Jingxiao Cai, Yan Rockee Zhang, Richard J. Doviak et al. · IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing ·

Neural network classifies typhoon low-altitude turbulence from Hong Kong terminal Doppler radar, validated against commercial aircraft turbulence measurements.

Observations & remote sensingNOAA (incl. GFDL, PSL, GSL, NCEP/EMC)University of Oklahoma (AI2ES)