8 papers in the archive · tier-1 watchlist.
Operational AI ensemble WeatherNext Cyclones predicts tropical cyclone track, intensity and size to 15 days, gaining about 1 day of lead time over leading operational models.
Extremes & hazardsColorado State University (incl. CIRA)Google DeepMindGoogle ResearchMet OfficeNOAA (incl. GFDL, PSL, GSL, NCEP/EMC)
End-to-end model ingests raw observations to produce global and station forecasts, beating operational NWP on several variables using 8% of input data.
Data assimilationThe Alan Turing InstituteECMWFGoogle DeepMindMicrosoft Research (AI for Science)University of Cambridge (Aardvark)
GenCast, a diffusion ensemble trained on reanalysis, beats ECMWF ENS on 97.4% of 1320 targets, with better tropical cyclone and wind power prediction, in 8 minutes.
Probabilistic & ensemble forecastingGoogle DeepMindGoogle Research
NeuralGCM couples a differentiable dynamical solver with ML components, matching ML and ECMWF ensemble skill for 1-15 day forecasts and stable multi-decade climate runs.
Hybrid physics-ML & parameterizationECMWFGoogle DeepMindGoogle ResearchMassachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
WeatherBench 2 provides an open evaluation framework, training and ground-truth data, and baselines for data-driven global 1-14 day forecasts.
Benchmarks, datasets & evaluationECMWFGoogle DeepMindGoogle Research
GraphCast, a graph neural network trained on ERA5, makes 10-day global forecasts at 0.25 degrees in under a minute, beating operational systems on 90% of targets.
DGMR, a deep generative model of radar, produces skillful 5-90 minute precipitation nowcasts that Met Office experts ranked first in 88% of cases.
Position paper surveying how machine learning can help climate change mitigation and adaptation across sectors such as energy and disaster management; not focused on weather or climate science.
Applications & impactsETH ZurichGoogle DeepMindGoogle ResearchLawrence Berkeley National Laboratory / NERSCMassachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)New York University (M2LInES)Stanford UniversityUniversity of California, Berkeley
