ML4WX

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Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)

37 papers in the archive.

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Earth Virtualization Engines: A Technical Perspective

Torsten Hoefler, Björn Stevens, Andreas Franz Prein et al. · Computing in Science & Engineering ·

Position paper on Earth Virtualization Engines that pair high-resolution physics-based climate models with machine learning and federated access to exabyte-scale climate data.

Software, scaling & compressionCSCS - Swiss National Supercomputing CentreETH ZurichMeteoSwissMassachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)Max Planck Institute for MeteorologyNSF NCAR / UCARNVIDIAUniversity of Reading

Ensemble‐Based Experimental Design for Targeting Data Acquisition to Inform Climate Models

Oliver R. A. Dunbar, Michael F. Howland, Tapio Schneider et al. · Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems ·

An ensemble-based algorithm targets data acquisition to regions and times that most reduce parametric uncertainty in a GCM convection scheme, within calibrate-emulate-sample.

Explainability, uncertainty & physicsMassachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)California Institute of Technology (Caltech)

Parameter Uncertainty Quantification in an Idealized GCM With a Seasonal Cycle

Michael F. Howland, Oliver R. A. Dunbar, Tapio Schneider · Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems ·

Calibrating a convection parameterization with seasonally averaged statistics cuts calibration error up to tenfold and narrows posterior spread by two to five times in an idealized GCM.

Explainability, uncertainty & physicsCalifornia Institute of Technology (Caltech)Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)

Ensemble-Based Experimental Design for Targeted High-Resolution Simulations to Inform Climate Models

Oliver R. A. Dunbar, Michael F. Howland, Tapio Schneider et al. · preprint ·

An ensemble-based experimental design algorithm, using calibrate-emulate-sample, chooses high-resolution simulation regions that most reduce uncertainty in GCM convection parameters, with 10^2 rather than 10^5 model runs.

Explainability, uncertainty & physicsMassachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)California Institute of Technology (Caltech)

Use of neural networks for stable, accurate and physically consistent parameterization of subgrid atmospheric processes with good performance at reduced precision

Janni Yuval, Paul A. O'Gorman, Chris N. Hill · Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2020GL091363 (2021) ·

Physically constrained neural network subgrid parameterization trained on high-resolution simulations stays stable in coupled runs and tolerates reduced numerical precision.

Hybrid physics-ML & parameterizationMassachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)

★ Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning

David Rolnick, Priya L. Donti, Lynn H. Kaack et al. · ACM Computing Surveys ·

Position paper surveying how machine learning can help climate change mitigation and adaptation across sectors such as energy and disaster management; not focused on weather or climate science.

Applications & impactsETH ZurichGoogle DeepMindGoogle ResearchLawrence Berkeley National Laboratory / NERSCMassachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)New York University (M2LInES)Stanford UniversityUniversity of California, Berkeley

S2S reboot: An argument for greater inclusion of machine learning in subseasonal to seasonal forecasts

Judah Cohen, Dim Coumou, Jessica Hwang et al. · WIREs Climate Change ·

Opinion article arguing machine learning should be adopted for S2S forecasting, showing statistical methods beat dynamical models on a polar vortex case.

Sub-seasonal to seasonalMicrosoft Research (AI for Science)Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)Stanford University

Using machine learning to parameterize moist convection: potential for modeling of climate, climate change and extreme events

Paul A. O'Gorman, John G. Dwyer · Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10, 2548-2563, 2018 ·

A random forest moist convection parameterization trained on high-resolution output runs stably in a GCM, capturing precipitation extremes and climate change when trained on warm-climate samples.

Hybrid physics-ML & parameterizationMassachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)