James P. C. Duncan, Elynn Wu, Surya Dheeshjith et al.
· Geophysical Research Letters
·
SamudrACE is a coupled atmosphere-ocean ML emulator giving stable centuries-long runs at 1 degree with realistic ENSO variability absent in uncoupled mode.
Oliver Watt-Meyer, Brian Henn, Jeremy McGibbon et al.
· npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
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ACE2 is a 450M-parameter emulator that conserves dry air and moisture, runs about 1500 simulated years per day, and reproduces El Niño responses over 80 years.
Oliver Watt-Meyer, Gideon Dresdner, Jeremy McGibbon et al.
· arXiv
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ACE is a 200M-parameter autoregressive emulator that stays stable for 100 years, reproduces a 100 km reference model's climate, and runs about 100x faster.
James P. C. Duncan, Elynn Wu, Surya Dheeshjith et al.
· Geophysical Research Letters
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SamudrACE is a coupled atmosphere-ocean ML emulator giving stable centuries-long runs at 1 degree with realistic ENSO variability absent in uncoupled mode.
Noah D. Brenowitz, Tao Ge, Akshay Subramaniam et al.
· arXiv
·
cBottle is a generative diffusion emulator of global 5 km climate simulations and reanalysis on HEALPix, avoiding autoregressive rollout and reaching 12.5M-pixel resolution.
Spencer K. Clark, Oliver Watt-Meyer, Anna Kwa et al.
· Journal of Geophysical Research: Machine Learning and Computation
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Couples the ACE2 emulator to a slab ocean and trains it across CO2 levels, reproducing equilibrium warming but violating energy conservation in transient runs.
Oliver Watt-Meyer, Brian Henn, Jeremy McGibbon et al.
· npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
·
ACE2 is a 450M-parameter emulator that conserves dry air and moisture, runs about 1500 simulated years per day, and reproduces El Niño responses over 80 years.
Haiwen Guan, Troy Arcomano, Ashesh Chattopadhyay et al.
· Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
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LUCIE, a lightweight ERA5-trained emulator trained on 2 years of data, stays stable and climatologically consistent for 100-year, 100-member simulations on one GPU.
Ira J. S. Shokar, Rich R. Kerswell, Peter H. Haynes
· arXiv
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A stochastic latent transformer emulates a stochastically forced zonal jet model with CRPS training, giving a five-order-of-magnitude speedup for large ensemble generation.
Vassili Kitsios, T. Okane, David Newth
· Communications Earth & Environment
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QuickClim uses machine learning to cheaply emulate climate simulations across many net-zero concentration pathways, quantifying uncertainty and pathway sensitivity.
Oliver Watt-Meyer, Gideon Dresdner, Jeremy McGibbon et al.
· arXiv
·
ACE is a 200M-parameter autoregressive emulator that stays stable for 100 years, reproduces a 100 km reference model's climate, and runs about 100x faster.
Laura Mansfield, Aman Gupta, Adam C. Burnett et al.
· Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
·
Perspective on climate model hierarchies since 2016, highlighting the rapid growth of machine learning in climate modelling and model use for climate risk decisions.
Nour Abdelmoneim, Dattaraj B. Dhuri, Dimitra Atri et al.
· arXiv
·
Uses an interpretable neural network trained on Mars Planetary Climate Model outputs to predict Gale Crater relative humidity with R² of 0.92, emulating a local climate variable.
Christopher S. Bretherton
· Geophysical Research Letters
·
Commentary on reservoir-computing hybrid models coupling ML to a coarse climate model and SST predictor, arguing ML could disrupt conventional climate modeling.
Christopher Wells, Lawrence Jackson, Amanda C. Maycock et al.
· Earth System Dynamics
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Decomposes pattern scaling errors from the MESMER emulator into scenario pattern and timeseries components, showing timeseries error is about 20% for high emissions but comparable to pattern error for low emissions.
F. Hourdin, Brady S. Ferster, Julie Deshayes et al.
· Science Advances
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Uses machine-learning emulators to select climate model parameter configurations, showing that conventional tuning underestimates warming uncertainty while matching present-day observations.
Bayesian Gaussian-process emulator obeying energy-balance equations emulates global and spatial surface temperature across scenarios, with interpretable parameters and uncertainty quantification.
Leroy J. Bird, Matthew Walker, G. E. Bodeker et al.
· Geoscientific model development
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Introduces a neural-network stochastic precipitation generator for New Zealand that reproduces daily and hourly statistics and captures climate-change drift; runs orders of magnitude faster than an RCM.
Subhashis Hazarika, Haruki Hirasawa, Sookyung Kim et al.
· arXiv
·
Hybrid AI emulators of cloud-climate response, with an interactive visual tool, enable what-if testing of marine cloud brightening scenarios without costly Earth system runs.
Timothy A. Smith, Stephen G. Penny, Jason A. Platt et al.
· arXiv
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Shows temporal subsampling of training data adds small-scale bias in reservoir-computing emulators of surface quasi-geostrophic turbulence, with echo state networks more robust than NVAR.
Seth Bassetti, Brian Hutchinson, Claudia Tebaldi et al.
· arXiv
·
Diffusion model conditioned on monthly temperature or precipitation generates realistic daily fields matching Earth system model heat waves and dry spells at a fraction of the cost.
Ashesh Chattopadhyay, Y. Qiang Sun, Pedram Hassanzadeh
· arXiv
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Attributes instability in AI weather models to spectral bias and proposes a mitigation enabling hundreds of years of physically consistent integration.
Machine-learned correction operator, trained on nudged coarse E3SM runs against ERA5, makes free-running climate statistics and extreme-event frequencies resemble observations.
Reviews machine learning's role in Earth system modelling, covering components beyond the atmosphere such as biogeochemistry and the terrestrial biosphere.
Gang Liu, Shushi Peng, Chris Huntingford et al.
· Geoscientific model development
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Data-calibrated PREMU emulator predicts ESM precipitation from gridded temperature modes, reproducing global land precipitation interannual variability (R 0.82-0.93) across nine models.
Soo Kyung Kim, Kalai Ramea, Salva Rühling Cachay et al.
· arXiv
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AiBEDO uses the Fluctuation-Dissipation Theorem and 8250 years of Earth system model output to emulate regional climate responses to marine cloud brightening forcing.
Haruki Hirasawa, Sookyung Kim, Peetak Mitra et al.
· arXiv
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AiBEDO, an MLP built on the Fluctuation-Dissipation Theorem, emulates climate responses to marine cloud brightening forcing and matches Earth system model simulations at far lower cost.
Jonathan Wider, Jakob Kruse, Nils Weitzel et al.
· Environmental Data Science, Volume 2 (2023), e35
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UNet-based CNNs emulate interannual oxygen isotope composition of precipitation from temperature and precipitation fields, explaining about 40% of temporal variance in a last-millennium run.
Souvik Bera, Gauri Shanker Gupta, Deepak Kumar et al.
· Journal of Ambient Intelligence and Humanized Computing
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LSTM combined with an unscented Kalman filter to predict the global land-ocean temperature index; the abstract is missing, so the scope is inferred from the title.
Richard J. Licata, Piyush M. Mehta
· Space Weather
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Builds a PCA plus LSTM probabilistic surrogate for the TIE-GCM thermosphere model, giving density distributions with under 5 km satellite position bias in the 2003 storm.
Shruti Nath, Lukas Gudmundsson, Jonas Schwaab et al.
· Geoscientific model development
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A statistical GAM emulator predicts local surface temperature responses to tree cover change from ESM output, offering a cheap complement to greenhouse-gas emulators.
Transfer learning from unused high-resolution data improves machine-learnt emulators of chaotic systems, giving better stability, generalisation and forecast skill for climate-model emulation.
Yann Quilcaille, Lukas Gudmundsson, Lea Beusch et al.
· Geophysical Research Letters
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MESMER-X statistical emulator reproduces spatially resolved annual maximum temperatures of Earth system models using global mean temperature as the driver.
Maybritt Schillinger, Beatrice Ellerhoff, Robert Scheichl et al.
· Chaos 32, 113146 (2022)
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Bayesian inference on a stochastic energy balance model (ClimBayes) emulates global temperature variability and separates forced from internal variance across decadal to centennial scales.
Christopher G. Fletcher, William McNally, John G. Virgin et al.
· Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
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A CNN emulates perturbed-parameter ensembles of a higher-resolution Earth system model from few high-resolution runs, making calibration 20-40% more efficient.
Ashesh Chattopadhyay, Jaideep Pathak, Ebrahim Nabizadeh et al.
· Environmental Data Science
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A convolutional VAE pretrained on imperfect quasi-geostrophic simulations and transfer-learned on noisy observations gives stable stochastic long-term rollouts with accurate climatology.
Shruti Nath, Quentin Lejeune, Lea Beusch et al.
· Earth System Dynamics
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MESMER-M extends an Earth system model emulator to monthly local temperatures, emulating 38 CMIP6 models with skewed, spatially correlated variability.
Lea Beusch, Zebedee Nicholls, Lukas Gudmundsson et al.
· Geoscientific model development
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Chains the MAGICC global emulator with the MESMER spatial emulator to produce millions of local temperature projections per emission pathway, validated against CMIP6 ensembles.
Ivan Sudakow, Michael Pokojovy, Dmitry A. Lyakhov
· Environmental Data Science
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Perspective arguing that climate emulators grounded in statistical mechanics and machine learning can better capture physics, tipping points, and reduce computational cost.
Fourier reservoir computing with localization extends skillful forecast horizons for a coupled atmosphere-ocean quasi-geostrophic model beyond standard reservoir computing.
Proposes neural diffusion equations, combining neural ODEs with diffusion, for climate modeling; it beats eleven baselines on two real and one synthetic dataset.
Jonas Van Breedam, Philippe Huybrechts, Michel C. Crucifix
· Geoscientific model development
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A Gaussian process emulator couples the HadSM3 climate model to an ice sheet model, enabling efficient million-year ice sheet–climate simulations and sensitivity tests.
Duncan Watson-Parris, Andrew Williams, Lucia Deaconu et al.
· Geosci. Model Dev. 14 (2021) 7659-7672
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ESEm, an open-source Gaussian-process emulation and calibration toolkit, reduces parametric uncertainty in a GCM and explores CMIP6 scenario uncertainty.
Compares GAN and VAE deep generative models against classical weather generators for multisite precipitation synthesis, offering guidance for future climate scenario generation.
Alexis Ayala, Christopher Drazic, Brian Hutchinson et al.
· arXiv
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Two loosely conditioned GANs emulate 32-day global daily precipitation from a coupled Earth system model, matching dry-day statistics at a fraction of the compute.
Ryan Pyle, Nikola Jovanovic, Devika Subramanian et al.
· Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences
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Shows echo state networks reduce to a polynomial regression (D2R2), a SINDy generalization that outperforms reservoir computers on Lorenz 63 and 96.
James Keeble, Yu Yeung Scott Yiu, Alexander Thomas Archibald et al.
· Frontiers in Earth Science
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Ridge, Lasso, random forest and extra trees emulate UKESM1 tropical stratospheric ozone projections under SSPs, matching the model when trained on future simulations.
Camille Besombes, Olivier Pannekoucke, Corentin Lapeyre et al.
· Nonlinear processes in geophysics
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Wasserstein GAN with a CNN generator learns a 64-dimensional latent space of synthetic PLASIM climate states, reproducing leading EOF statistics and geostrophic balance.
Xiao-Chen Yuan, Nan Zhang, Weizheng Wang et al.
· Environmental Research Letters
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Nearest-neighbour Gaussian process and PCA emulators reproduce gridded Earth system model temperature responses to emission scenarios, enabling cheap projections for impact assessment.
Alexandra Puchko, Robert P. Link, Brian Hutchinson et al.
· arXiv
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DeepClimGAN, a conditional GAN, emulates Earth system model daily weather under chosen scenarios to sample extremes far more cheaply than full ESM runs.
L. A. Mansfield, P. J. Nowack, M. Kasoar et al.
· npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
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Machine learning maps short-term climate model responses to long-term temperature change under forcing scenarios, enabling cheaper climate projections.
Meta-modeling uses cheap low-fidelity models to skip costly high-fidelity evaluations when predicting temperature fields, giving an adaptive training strategy for geophysical emulation.
Duncan Watson-Parris
· Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A. 379 (2021) 20200098
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Position review arguing climate emulation with machine learning differs from weather forecasting, since climate is a boundary-condition problem with steady-state emulation opportunities.
Dario Domingo, Irene Malmierca‐Vallet, Louise C. Sime et al.
· Journal of Geophysical Research Earth Surface
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Gaussian process emulator of an isotope-enabled climate model constrains Last Interglacial Greenland ice sheet geometry against ice core isotope data, reducing uncertainty.
Theodore Weber, Austin Corotan, Brian Hutchinson et al.
· Atmospheric chemistry and physics
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A CNN surrogate trained on CanESM2 monthly precipitation outperforms persistence and stays skillful over 120-month rollouts, with scheduled sampling and preforecasting documented.
Philip B. Holden, Neil Robert Edwards, Thiago Fernando Rangel et al.
· Geoscientific model development
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Gaussian process emulators of PLASIM-GENIE ensembles produce a downscaled, high-resolution reconstruction of Pliocene-Pleistocene temperature and precipitation at 1,000-year intervals.
Bledar A. Konomi, Karagiannis, Georgios
· Technometrics
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A multi-fidelity Bayesian treed co-kriging emulator handles non-nested designs for WRF model output, giving full predictive distributions at each fidelity level.
Compares echo state networks, feed-forward ANNs and LSTMs on a multi-scale Lorenz 96 system; reservoir computing forecasts hundreds of steps and matches PDF tails.
Christian Schroeder de Witt, Thomas Hornigold
· arXiv
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Frames stratospheric aerosol injection as deep reinforcement learning, using a deep-learning emulator of HadCM3 as the training environment; presented as a first DRL application in climate science.
Takeshi Ise, Yurika Oba
· Frontiers in Robotics and AI
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LeNet CNN on images of 30 years of global monthly temperature predicts the next decade's trend with 97% reported accuracy, as a top-down alternative to physics models.
Robert P. Link, Abigail Snyder, Cary Lynch et al.
· Geoscientific model development
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Fldgen emulates Earth system model temperature fields with internal variability and space-time correlation, producing large ensembles from global temperature input.
Differentiable physics-informed graph networks inject domain physics into latent space, improving climate prediction tasks and multistep forecasting; details are limited in the abstract.
Deep network emulates a simple general circulation model, forecasting its states and producing stable climate runs with matching statistics and no long-term drift.
Convolutional autoencoders compress CMIP5 pre-industrial surface temperature fields and beat PCA in reconstruction error at 40 dimensions, suggesting surrogate climate model use.
Gemma J. Anderson, Donald D. Lucas
· Geophysical Research Letters
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Random forests trained on a multiresolution perturbed-parameter GCM ensemble predict high-resolution TOA flux and precipitation using few high-resolution runs, cutting simulation cost.
Giang Tran, K. I. C. Oliver, Philip B. Holden et al.
· Climate Dynamics
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Multi-level statistical emulation of climate model responses to boundary forcing; abstract missing, so ML role is inferred from emulator-style methods and is weakly evidenced.
Mohammad Hizbul Bahar Arif, Lev Tarasov, Tristan Hauser
· preprint
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Bayesian neural networks emulate GCM monthly temperature and precipitation for glacial cycles, adding calibrated noise to mimic internal variability from 22 to 120 ka.
Chris Kent, Adam A. Scaife, Nick J. Dunstone et al.
· npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
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ACE2 produces skilful winter seasonal forecasts from SST-persisted initialisation, reaching NAO correlation 0.47 over 1993–2016, comparable to a physics-based model.
Paul A. Ullrich, Elizabeth A. Barnes, William D. Collins et al.
· Journal of Geophysical Research: Machine Learning and Computation
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Five recommendations for standardized, independent evaluation of ML-based Earth system models, stressing physical consistency for climate projections without historical analogues.
Henry Addison, Elizabeth Kendon, Suman Ravuri et al.
· Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
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A diffusion model (CPMGEM) emulates 2.2 km UK convection-permitting precipitation from 60 km GCM inputs, reproducing extremes up to about 100-year return times at much lower cost.
Zeyuan Hu, Akshay Subramaniam, Zhiming Kuang et al.
· Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
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A U-Net emulator of embedded cloud-resolving models gives a stable 5-year hybrid climate run with realistic cloud condensate and a 0.96 mm/day precipitation RMSE.
Ching-Yao Lai, Pedram Hassanzadeh, Aditi Sheshadri et al.
· Annual Review of Condensed Matter Physics
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Review of ML for climate physics and climate simulations, arguing physics knowledge and interpretability are essential in the small-data, non-stationary regime of long-term climate projection.
Catherine O. de Burgh-Day, Tennessee Leeuwenburg
· Geoscientific Model Development
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Chronological review of machine learning in weather and climate modelling, from solvers and parameterization emulation to full ML forecast models, with ethics and future directions.
Dmitrii Kochkov, Janni Yuval, Ian Langmore et al.
· Nature
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NeuralGCM couples a differentiable dynamical solver with ML components, matching ML and ECMWF ensemble skill for 1-15 day forecasts and stable multi-decade climate runs.
Steven C. Hardiman, Adam A. Scaife, Van Niekerk et al.
· Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems
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Neural network emulates the Met Office nonorographic gravity wave scheme using only two of six inputs, and reproduces QBO and ENSO-linked gravity wave variability in a climate model.
Yilun Han, Guang Jun Zhang, Yong Wang
· Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
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Ensemble of 32-layer residual CNNs emulates superparameterized convection and clouds, runs stably for 5 years in CAM5, and generalizes to a +4K warmer climate.
Francesco Immorlano, Veronika Eyring, Thomas le Monnier de Gouville et al.
· Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 122 (15) e2413503122, 2025
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Transfer learning merges Earth system model simulations with historical observations to cut the spread of 21st-century global temperature projections by more than 50%.
Mohamed Aziz Bhouri, Liran Peng, Michael S. Pritchard et al.
· arXiv
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Multi-fidelity randomized prior networks combine physical parameterizations and storm-resolving runs to extrapolate to +4K warming, yielding more skillful climate projections with uncertainty.
Shouwei Gao, Meiyan Gao, Yuepeng Li et al.
· arXiv
·
Hybrid ARIMA, K-means and autoencoder method generates synthetic North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks and intensities from HURDAT2 for risk assessment.
Matthias Karlbauer, Nathaniel Cresswell-Clay, Dale R. Durran et al.
· Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16, e2023MS004021
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DLWP-HPX uses a HEALPix mesh and GRU-augmented U-Net with fewer variables at 110 km, reaching skill about one day behind Pangu-Weather and GraphCast at one week and stable one-year rollouts.
George Miloshevich, Dario Lucente, Pascal Yiou et al.
· arXiv
·
An analog-based stochastic weather generator emulates prolonged European heatwaves and extends return-time estimates, though a CNN predicts better with long training data.
Lizao Li, Rob Carver, Ignacio Lopez-Gomez et al.
· Science Advances
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SEEDS uses diffusion models to emulate operational weather ensembles, generating thousands of realistic members cheaply with improved reliability and extreme-event probabilities after bias correction.
Torsten Hoefler, Björn Stevens, Andreas Franz Prein et al.
· Computing in Science & Engineering
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Position paper on Earth Virtualization Engines that pair high-resolution physics-based climate models with machine learning and federated access to exabyte-scale climate data.
Sanaa Hobeichi, Nidhi Nishant, Yawen Shao et al.
· Earth s Future
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Machine learning emulators (MLP and error-corrected regression with random forest) downscale GCM evapotranspiration from 12.5 km to 1.5 km, reaching KGE of 0.86 and beating statistical downscaling.
A DeepONet with autoencoder replaces the nudging bias-correction module in the E3SMv2 climate model, matching nudging tendencies with a learned surrogate for online use.
Charlotte Connolly, Elizabeth A. Barnes, Pedram Hassanzadeh et al.
· arXiv
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Trains a CNN on internal variability of a long dry-core control run to predict the nonlinear jet stream response to tropospheric forcing, extending fluctuation-dissipation ideas beyond linear response.
James Carzon, Bruno Ricardi de Abreu, Leighton A. Regayre et al.
· Environmental Data Science
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Surrogate-based statistical framework constrains UKESM1 aerosol parameters against MODIS observations on a cloud platform, using 3-hourly outputs for tighter constraints.
Philipp Hess, Stefan Lange, Christof Schötz et al.
· Earth s Future
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Physically constrained cGANs correct CMIP6-class Earth system model precipitation biases in both local distributions and spatial patterns, outperforming existing methods on extremes' spatial intermittency.
Renbo Tu, Nicholas Roberts, Vishak Prasad et al.
· arXiv
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Benchmarks off-the-shelf AutoML libraries on climate modelling and wind power forecasting; they fail to beat human-designed models, motivating spatiotemporal AutoML search spaces.
Maximilian Gelbrecht, Alistair White, Sebastian Bathiany et al.
· Geoscientific Model Development, 2023, Volume 16, Issue 11, 3123-3135
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Argues that making Earth system models automatically differentiable enables objective calibration and hybrid ML components, targeting climate sensitivity, spatial biases and abrupt transitions.
Philipp Hess, Markus Drüke, Stefan Petri et al.
· Nature Machine Intelligence
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A physically constrained GAN corrects Earth system model precipitation, fixing local distributions and the double-peaked ITCZ while preserving global precipitation sums under future scenarios.
Tianyu Zhang, Andrew Williams, Soham Phade et al.
· arXiv
·
RICE-N integrated assessment model with multi-agent reinforcement learning simulates climate-economy negotiations to test cooperation frameworks for climate mitigation agreements.
Antoine Doury, Samuel Somot, Sebastien Gadat et al.
· Climate Dynamics
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A neural-network RCM emulator hybrid-downscales daily 12 km near-surface temperature from large-scale predictors, reproducing RCM variability with training in under 2 hours and inference in under a minute.
Xin Wang, Yilun Han, Wei Xue et al.
· Geoscientific Model Development
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Residual neural networks replace moist physics and radiation in a realistic GCM, giving stable simulations over 10+ years with improved tropical land precipitation.
Blanka Balogh, David Saint‐Martin, Aurélien Ribes
· preprint
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Proposes tunable neural-network climate parameterizations calibrated online against long-term statistics, reducing long-term biases of the ML model in a simple dynamical system.
Younes Boulaguiem, Jakob Zscheischler A, Edoardo Vignotto et al.
· Environmental Data Science
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Combines GANs with extreme value theory (evtGAN) to model spatial dependence of temperature and precipitation extremes over western Europe, outperforming classical GANs using a 2000-year simulation.
Tom Beucler, Pierre Gentine, Janni Yuval et al.
· Science Advances
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Climate-invariant ML embeds physical knowledge into parameterization emulators so they generalize across climate regimes, maintaining offline accuracy in three atmospheric models.
Yuankai Wu, Bernardo Teufel, Laxmi Sushama et al.
· Geophysical Research Letters
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Adversarial sub-pixel CNN super-resolves 2.5 km regional climate simulations of Montreal to 250 m, improving urban temperature errors and heat-stress indicators.
Neural network combination of 15 GCMs for Tehran temperature and precipitation outperforms the best single model and multi-model mean in present-day simulations and future projections.
Ben Hudson, Frederik Nijweide, Isaac Sebenius
· arXiv
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Multi-fidelity Gaussian processes fuse a coarse GCM and a regional climate model to predict Peruvian temperatures, evaluating only 6% of the high-fidelity region.
Alexei Belochitski, Vladimir Krasnopolsky
· arXiv
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A single shallow neural network emulates the full atmospheric physics suite in NCEP GFS, remaining stable for medium-range forecasts and a year-long AMIP run with realistic output and speedup.
K. Kashinath, M. Mustafa, A. Albert et al.
· Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
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Surveys physics-informed ML approaches with ten case studies for emulating, downscaling and forecasting weather and climate, reporting greater consistency and data efficiency.
B. T. Nadiga
· Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
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Reservoir computing predicts North Atlantic SST in a CESM control run, beating linear inverse models with limited data and suggesting emulator potential.
Noah D. Brenowitz, Brian Henn, Jeremy McGibbon et al.
· arXiv
·
Compares random forest and neural network moist-physics parameterizations trained on a 3 km global simulation; NN wins offline but crashes within 7 days when coupled.
A conditional sampling method uses short partial observations to generate training data that reduces model error and improves machine learning forecasts of turbulent and climate-like systems.
Yilun Han, Guang Jun Zhang, Xiaomeng Huang et al.
· Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
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ResCu, a residual CNN trained on SPCAM output, parameterizes moist convection and clouds with moist-static-energy conservation, outperforming conventional schemes in single-column tests.
Griffin Mooers, Jens Tuyls, Stephan Mandt et al.
· arXiv
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A VAE trained on about 6 million high-resolution vertical velocity samples reconstructs convection and clusters organization regimes, supporting stochastic convection parameterizations.
Doug McNeall, Jonny Williams, Richard Betts et al.
· Geoscientific model development
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A Gaussian process emulator with an augmented bias term corrects Amazon climate biases in a land-surface model and identifies plausible parameter values despite structural error.
Garrett C Limon, Christiane Jablonowski
· preprint
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Random forests, linear regression and CNN-based networks emulate CAM6 physical forcings offline; tuning is needed to capture detailed patterns, with online coupling left for future work.
Janni Yuval, Paul A. O'Gorman
· Nature communications. 2020 Jul 3;11(1):1-0
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A random forest subgrid parameterization learned from 3D high-resolution output yields stable coarse-resolution climate simulations that reproduce precipitation extremes.
Julien Brajard, Alberto Carassi, Marc Bocquet et al.
· Journal of Computational Science, Volume 44, 2020
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Iterating an ensemble Kalman filter with a neural network emulates the chaotic Lorenz-96 model from sparse noisy observations, giving forecast skill up to two Lyapunov times.
Jeremy McGibbon, Christopher S. Bretherton
· Geophysical Research Letters
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A neural network trained prognostically on ERA5 emulates northeast Pacific boundary-layer tendencies in single-column runs over 7-day periods, outperforming the underlying forecast model in tracking reanalysis.
Peter A. G. Watson
· Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
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ML learns timestep-by-timestep error corrections to a physical model; tested on Lorenz-96, it gives stable runs, better initialised skill and improved long-term statistics.
Peer Johannes Nowack, Peter Braesicke, Joanna D. Haigh et al.
· Environmental Research Letters
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Linear ML regression predicts 3D ozone from temperature alone, improving stratospheric ozone variability over fixed climatology for preindustrial and 4xCO2 climate sensitivity runs.
Stephan Rasp, Michael S. Pritchard, Pierre Gentine
· Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Sep 2018, 201810286; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1810286115
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A neural network trained on cloud-resolving output replaces subgrid convection in a global climate model, giving stable multi-year runs that capture precipitation extremes and approximately conserve energy.
Pierre Gentine, Mike Pritchard, Stephan Rasp et al.
· preprint
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CBRAIN, a neural network trained on superparameterized aquaplanet data, replaces convection parameterization and reproduces its features with reduced stochasticity.