ML4WX

Climate emulation

Fast Gaussian Process Emulation of Mars Global Climate Model

Marc Tunnell, Nathaniel Bowman, Erin Carrier

Earth and Space Science ·

Paper

In one sentence. A Gaussian process surrogate emulates the NASA Mars Global Climate Model in minutes instead of weeks for sensitivity studies.

Abstract

Abstract The NASA Ames Mars Global Climate Model (MGCM) software has been in steady use at NASA for decades and was recently released to the public. This model simulates the complex interactions of various weather cycles that exist on Mars, namely the Dust Cycle, the CO 2 Cycle, and the Water cycle. Utilized by NASA, the MGCM is used to help understand their empirically observed data through the use of sensitivity studies. However, these sensitivity studies are computationally taxing, requiring weeks to run. To address this issue, we have trained a surrogate model using Gaussian processes (GP) that can emulate the output of this model with relatively small amounts of data in a reduced amount of time (on the order of minutes). We demonstrate the effectiveness of our emulator using backward error.

Labels

Topic
Climate emulation
Type
New model or method
Method
Classical ML (trees, GP, linear, kernels)
Domain
Global
Data
Other
Status
Research
Identifiers
DOI:10.1029/2022ea002743 OpenAlex:W4387008385
Added
2026-10-22

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