ML4WX

Climate emulation

Old Dog, New Trick: Reservoir Computing Advances Machine Learning for Climate Modeling

Christopher S. Bretherton

Geophysical Research Letters · · Allen Institute for AI (Ai2, ACE)

Paper

In one sentence. Commentary on reservoir-computing hybrid models coupling ML to a coarse climate model and SST predictor, arguing ML could disrupt conventional climate modeling.

Abstract

Abstract Physics‐informed machine learning (ML) applied to geophysical simulation is developing explosively. Recently, graph neural net and vision transformer architectures have shown 1–7 days global weather forecast skill superior to any conventional model with integration times over 1,000 times faster, but longer simulations rapidly degrade. ML that achieves high skill in both weather and climate applications is a tougher goal. This Commentary was inspired by Arcomano et al. (2023, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102649 ), who show impressive progress toward that goal using hybrid ML, combining reservoir computing (RC) to a coarse‐grid climate model and coupling to a separate data‐driven RC model that interactively predicts sea‐surface temperature. This opens new horizons; where will the next ML breakthrough come from, and is conventional climate modeling about to be disrupted?

Labels

Topic
Climate emulation, Hybrid physics-ML & parameterization
Type
Position or perspective paper
Method
Other
Time scale
Climate projections / centennial
Domain
Global
Data
Other
Status
Research
Identifiers
DOI:10.1029/2023gl104174 OpenAlex:W4386274382
Added
2026-10-22

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