A two-fold deep-learning strategy to correct and downscale winds over mountains

Louis Le Toumelin, Isabelle Gouttevin, Clovis Galiez, Nora Helbig

Nonlinear processes in geophysics · 13 February 2024 · Météo-France (incl. CNRM)

In one sentence. Two neural networks correct AROME wind forecasts at 1300 m, then downscale to 30 m with DEVINE, optimizing corrections jointly with the downscaling step.

Abstract

Abstract. Assessing wind fields at a local scale in mountainous terrain has long been a scientific challenge partly because of the complex interaction between large-scale flows and local topography. Traditionally, the operational applications that require high resolution wind forcings rely on downscaled outputs of numerical weather predictions systems. Downscaling models either proceed from a function that links large scale wind fields to local observations (hence including a corrective step), or use operations that account for local scale processes, through statistics or dynamical simulations, and without prior knowledge of large scale modeling errors. This work presents a strategy to first correct and then downscale the wind fields of the numerical weather prediction model AROME operating at 1300 m grid spacing, by using a modular architecture composed of two artificial neural networks and the DEVINE downscaling model. We show that our method is able to first correct the wind direction and speed from the large scale model (1300 m), and then accurately downscale it to a local scale (30 m) by using the DEVINE downscaling model. The innovative aspect of our method lies in its optimization scheme that accounts for the downscaling step in the computations of the corrections of the coarse scale wind fields. This modular architecture yields competitive results without suppressing the versatility of the downscaling model DEVINE, which remains unbounded to any wind observations.

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