ML4WX

Local & station forecasting

Weather Forecasting Using Decision Tree

Rashmi Bhardwaj, Varsha Duhoon

Journal of Engineering Research ·

PaperPDF

In one sentence. Decision tree methods, including M5P, REP Tree and Random Forest, forecast daily maximum and minimum temperature in Delhi from 17 months of data. Random Forest is best.

Abstract

The present situation of climate change calls for the need to develop a system which can forecast temperature in advance so that it can be helpful for making polices by government. Decision Trees is a method used to analyse combination of Mathematical & Computational Techniques in order to make description, categorisation & generalisation of given set of data using machine learning to predict behaviour for future performance. In this study the Decision Tree techniques like Quinlan's M5 algorithm (M5P), Reduced Error Pruning Tree (REP Tree), Random Forest, Logit Boosting, Ada Boosting M1Tool are used to analyse the weather parameter Maximum Temperature and Minimum Temperature for Delhi region. Daily data set of 17 months has been used for analysing and forecasting. It is observed that among the techniques of decision tree; Random Forest is much effective than statistical methods as it gives better results in less time and less statistical errors.

Labels

Topic
Local & station forecasting
Type
Evaluation or intercomparison of existing models
Method
Classical ML (trees, GP, linear, kernels)
Time scale
6 h–3 days
Domain
Local / station
Data
Station / in-situ
Status
Research
Identifiers
DOI:10.36909/jer.iccemme.15635 OpenAlex:W3213003852
Added
2026-10-22

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