ML4WX

Nowcasting

Assessment of Deep Learning-Based Nowcasting Using Weather Radar in South Korea

Seong-Sim Yoon, Hongjoon Shin, Jae‐Yeong Heo, Kwang-Bae Choi

Remote Sensing ·

Paper

In one sentence. Compares RainNet, ConvLSTM U-Net, recursive U-Net and GAN nowcasting on South Korean S-band radar, with RainNet reaching CSI 0.826 at 0.1 mm/h.

Abstract

This study examines the effectiveness of various deep learning algorithms in nowcasting using weather radar data from South Korea. Herein, the algorithms examined include RainNet, ConvLSTM2D U-Net, a U-Net-based recursive model, and a generative adversarial network. Moreover, this study used S-band radar data from the Ministry of Environment to assess the predictive performance of these models. Results show the efficacy of these algorithms in short-term rainfall prediction. Specifically, for a threshold of 0.1 mm/h, the recursive RainNet model achieved a critical success index (CSI) of 0.826, an F1 score of 0.781, and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.378. However, for a higher threshold of 5 mm/h, the model achieved an average CSI of 0.498, an F1 score of 0.577, and a MAE of 0.307. Furthermore, some models exhibited spatial smoothing issues with increasing rainfall-prediction times. The findings of this research hold promise for applications of societal importance, especially for preventing disasters due to extreme weather events.

Labels

Topic
Nowcasting
Type
Evaluation or intercomparison of existing models
Method
CNN / U-Net, RNN / LSTM / ConvLSTM, GAN or VAE
Time scale
0–6 h
Domain
Regional
Data
Radar
Status
Research
Identifiers
DOI:10.3390/rs15215197 OpenAlex:W4388077113
Added
2026-10-22

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