Bagging Machine Learning Algorithms: A Generic Computing Framework Based on Machine-Learning Methods for Regional Rainfall Forecasting in Upstate New York

Ning Yu, Timothy Haskins

Informatics · 20 July 2021

In one sentence. A bagging framework combining KNN, SVM, DNN and LSTM engines forecasts regional rainfall in Upstate New York, with SVM and KNN best for classification.

Abstract

Regional rainfall forecasting is an important issue in hydrology and meteorology. Machine learning algorithms especially deep learning methods have emerged as a part of prediction tools for regional rainfall forecasting. This paper aims to design and implement a generic computing framework that can assemble a variety of machine learning algorithms as computational engines for regional rainfall forecasting in Upstate New York. The algorithms that have been bagged in the computing framework include the classical algorithms and the state-of-the-art deep learning algorithms, such as K-Nearest Neighbors, Support Vector Machine, Deep Neural Network, Wide Neural Network, Deep and Wide Neural Network, Reservoir Computing, and Long Short Term Memory methods. Through the experimental results and the performance comparisons of these various engines, we have observed that the SVM- and KNN-based method are outstanding models over other models in classification while DWNN- and KNN-based methods outstrip other models in regression, particularly those prevailing deep-learning-based methods, for handling uncertain and complex climatic data for precipitation forecasting. Meanwhile, the normalization methods such as Z-score and Minmax are also integrated into the generic computing framework for the investigation and evaluation of their impacts on machine learning models.

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