An ANN Model Trained on Regional Data in the Prediction of Particular Weather Conditions
In one sentence. An MLP predicts next-day minimum and maximum temperature and pressure for Szczecin, Poland, with 96% accuracy for temperature.
Abstract
Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have proven to be a powerful tool for solving a wide variety of real-life problems. The possibility of using them for forecasting phenomena occurring in nature, especially weather indicators, has been widely discussed. However, the various areas of the world differ in terms of their difficulty and ability in preparing accurate weather forecasts. Poland lies in a zone with a moderate transition climate, which is characterized by seasonality and the inflow of many types of air masses from different directions, which, combined with the compound terrain, causes climate variability and makes it difficult to accurately predict the weather. For this reason, it is necessary to adapt the model to the prediction of weather conditions and verify its effectiveness on real data. The principal aim of this study is to present the use of a regressive model based on a unidirectional multilayer neural network, also called a Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), to predict selected weather indicators for the city of Szczecin in Poland. The forecast of the model we implemented was effective in determining the daily parameters at 96% compliance with the actual measurements for the prediction of the minimum and maximum temperature for the next day and 83.27% for the prediction of atmospheric pressure.
Labels
- Topic
- Local & station forecasting
- Type
- Application study
- Method
- Classical ML (trees, GP, linear, kernels)
- Time scale
- 6 h–3 days
- Domain
- Local / station
- Data
- Station / in-situ
- Status
- Research
- Identifiers
- DOI:10.3390/app11114757 OpenAlex:W3164677999
- Added
- 2026-10-22
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