ML4WX

Sub-seasonal to seasonal

ENSO Dynamics, Trends, and Prediction Using Machine Learning

Julian Hernandez, Óscar J. Mesa, Upmanu Lall

Weather and Forecasting · · Columbia University (LEAP, Lamont-Doherty)

PaperPDF

In one sentence. Nonhomogeneous hidden Markov model identifies five ENSO regimes from 1856 to 2019 and gives out-of-sample probabilistic Niño forecasts comparable to existing models.

Labels

Topic
Sub-seasonal to seasonal, Climate analysis & attribution
Type
New model or method
Method
Classical ML (trees, GP, linear, kernels)
Time scale
Seasonal to annual, 2 weeks–2 months
Domain
Regional
Data
Other
Status
Research
Identifiers
DOI:10.1175/waf-d-20-0031.1 OpenAlex:W3070087388
Added
2026-10-22

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