ML4WX

Post-processing & calibration

Calibration of Machine Learning–Based Probabilistic Hail Predictions for Operational Forecasting

Amanda L. Burke, Nathan Snook, David John Gagne, Sarah McCorkle, Amy McGovern

Weather and Forecasting · · NSF NCAR / UCAR, University of Oklahoma (AI2ES)

Paper

In one sentence. Random forest postprocesses HREFv2 ensembles for hail, with isotonic calibration matching SPC outlook reliability for operational day-1 forecasts.

Labels

Topic
Post-processing & calibration, Extremes & hazards
Type
New model or method
Method
Classical ML (trees, GP, linear, kernels)
Time scale
6 h–3 days
Domain
Regional
Data
NWP analysis or forecasts (IFS, GFS, ...), Radar
Status
Pre-operational / experimental
Identifiers
DOI:10.1175/waf-d-19-0105.1 OpenAlex:W2989751705
Added
2026-10-22

Labels and summary are generated by Claude and reviewed weekly. Wrong? Edit this entry.