ML4WX

Extremes & hazards

Quasi-Operational Testing of Real-Time Storm-Longevity Prediction via Machine Learning

Amy McGovern, Christopher D. Karstens, Travis M. Smith, Ryan Lagerquist

Weather and Forecasting · · NOAA (incl. GFDL, PSL, GSL, NCEP/EMC), University of Oklahoma (AI2ES)

Paper

In one sentence. Random forests, boosted trees and elastic nets predict storm longevity in NWS quasi-operational testing, with lower error than human forecasters.

Labels

Topic
Extremes & hazards, Nowcasting
Type
New model or method
Method
Classical ML (trees, GP, linear, kernels)
Time scale
0–6 h
Domain
Regional
Data
Radar, Satellite
Status
Pre-operational / experimental
Identifiers
DOI:10.1175/waf-d-18-0141.1 OpenAlex:W2963292962
Added
2026-10-22

Labels and summary are generated by Claude and reviewed weekly. Wrong? Edit this entry.