ML4WX

Extremes & hazardsClassic

Storm-Based Probabilistic Hail Forecasting with Machine Learning Applied to Convection-Allowing Ensembles

David John Gagne, Amy McGovern, Sue Ellen Haupt, Ryan A. Sobash, John K. Williams, Ming Xue

Weather and Forecasting · · NSF NCAR / UCAR, University of Oklahoma (AI2ES)

Paper

In one sentence. Storm-based machine learning produces calibrated probabilistic severe hail forecasts from convection-allowing ensembles, achieving higher critical success index than existing hail forecasting methods.

Labels

Topic
Extremes & hazards, Post-processing & calibration
Type
New model or method
Method
Classical ML (trees, GP, linear, kernels)
Time scale
6 h–3 days
Domain
Regional
Data
NWP analysis or forecasts (IFS, GFS, ...), Radar
Status
Research
Identifiers
DOI:10.1175/waf-d-17-0010.1 OpenAlex:W2743153755
Added
2026-10-22

Labels and summary are generated by Claude and reviewed weekly. Wrong? Edit this entry.