ML4WX

Post-processing & calibration

Deep Learning Forecast Uncertainty for Precipitation over the Western United States

Weiming Hu, Mohammadvaghef Ghazvinian, William Eric Chapman, Agniv Sengupta, Fred Martin Ralph, Luca Delle Monache

Monthly Weather Review · · NSF NCAR / UCAR

PaperPDF

In one sentence. A U-Net postprocesses 4 km West-WRF precipitation reforecasts into censored shifted gamma distributions, beating analog, regression and meta-Gaussian benchmarks at all lead times.

Labels

Topic
Post-processing & calibration, Probabilistic & ensemble forecasting
Type
New model or method
Method
CNN / U-Net
Time scale
6 h–3 days
Domain
Regional
Data
NWP analysis or forecasts (IFS, GFS, ...)
Status
Research
Identifiers
DOI:10.1175/mwr-d-22-0268.1 OpenAlex:W4323546156
Added
2026-10-22

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