ML4WX

Post-processing & calibration

Statistical Modeling of 2-m Temperature and 10-m Wind Speed Forecast Errors

Zied Ben Bouallègue, Fenwick Cooper, Matthew Chantry, Peter D. Düben, Peter Bechtold, Irina Sandu

Monthly Weather Review · · ECMWF, University of Oxford

Paper

In one sentence. Linear regression, random forests and neural networks correct ECMWF IFS 2 m temperature and 10 m wind errors, improving RMSE by 10–15% with uncertainty estimates.

Labels

Topic
Post-processing & calibration
Type
Evaluation or intercomparison of existing models
Method
Classical ML (trees, GP, linear, kernels)
Time scale
3–15 days
Domain
Global
Data
NWP analysis or forecasts (IFS, GFS, ...), Station / in-situ
Status
Research
Identifiers
DOI:10.1175/mwr-d-22-0107.1 OpenAlex:W4315706382
Added
2026-10-22

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