ML4WX

Post-processing & calibration

A hybrid analog-ensemble, convolutional-neural-network method for post-processing precipitation forecasts

Yingkai Sha, David John Gagne, Gregory West, Roland B. Stull

Monthly Weather Review · · NSF NCAR / UCAR

Paper

In one sentence. Hybrid analog-ensemble and CNN post-processing of GEFS precipitation raises CRPSS about 10% over quantile-mapped baseline out to 7 days in British Columbia.

Labels

Topic
Post-processing & calibration, Probabilistic & ensemble forecasting
Type
New model or method
Method
CNN / U-Net
Time scale
3–15 days
Domain
Regional
Data
ERA5 / reanalysis, NWP analysis or forecasts (IFS, GFS, ...), Station / in-situ
Status
Research
Identifiers
DOI:10.1175/mwr-d-21-0154.1 OpenAlex:W4225553680
Added
2026-10-22

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