ML4WX

Post-processing & calibration

Probabilistic Predictions from Deterministic Atmospheric River Forecasts with Deep Learning

William Eric Chapman, Luca Delle Monache, Stefano Alessandrini, Aneesh C. Subramanian, Fred Martin Ralph, Shang‐Ping Xie, Sebastian Lerch, Negin Hayatbini

Monthly Weather Review · · Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), NSF NCAR / UCAR

Paper

In one sentence. Deep-learning postprocessing turns deterministic West-WRF atmospheric river IVT forecasts into reliable probabilistic forecasts that rival calibrated GEFS out to 120 h.

Labels

Topic
Post-processing & calibration
Type
New model or method
Method
Other
Time scale
6 h–3 days
Domain
Regional
Data
NWP analysis or forecasts (IFS, GFS, ...)
Status
Research
Identifiers
DOI:10.1175/mwr-d-21-0106.1 OpenAlex:W3206359964
Added
2026-10-22

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