ML4WX

Extremes & hazards

Deep Learning on Three-Dimensional Multiscale Data for Next-Hour Tornado Prediction

Ryan Lagerquist, Amy McGovern, Cameron R. Homeyer, David John Gagne II, Travis Smith

Monthly Weather Review · · NSF NCAR / UCAR, University of Oklahoma (AI2ES)

Paper

In one sentence. CNNs using radar images and proximity soundings predict next-hour tornado occurrence with AUC above 0.9, with a GridRad critical success index of 0.31.

Labels

Topic
Extremes & hazards, Nowcasting
Type
New model or method
Method
CNN / U-Net
Time scale
0–6 h
Domain
Regional
Data
Radar, NWP analysis or forecasts (IFS, GFS, ...)
Status
Research
Identifiers
DOI:10.1175/mwr-d-19-0372.1 OpenAlex:W3025786591
Added
2026-10-22

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