ML4WX

Extremes & hazards

“Dendrology” in Numerical Weather Prediction: What Random Forests and Logistic Regression Tell Us about Forecasting Extreme Precipitation

Gregory R. Herman, R. Schumacher

Monthly Weather Review · · Colorado State University (incl. CIRA)

Paper

In one sentence. Random forests and logistic regression trained on GEFS reforecast predictors forecast CONUS extreme precipitation at day 2 and day 3, and the paper analyzes what the trained models reveal physically.

Labels

Topic
Extremes & hazards, Post-processing & calibration
Type
New model or method
Method
Classical ML (trees, GP, linear, kernels)
Time scale
6 h–3 days
Domain
Regional
Data
NWP analysis or forecasts (IFS, GFS, ...)
Status
Research
Identifiers
DOI:10.1175/mwr-d-17-0307.1 OpenAlex:W2800258827
Added
2026-10-22

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