ML4WX

Post-processing & calibration

Comparing Area Probability Forecasts of (Extreme) Local Precipitation Using Parametric and Machine Learning Statistical Postprocessing Methods

Kirien Whan, Maurice J. Schmeits

Monthly Weather Review · · KNMI (Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute)

Paper

In one sentence. Compares ELR, ZAGA and quantile regression forests for postprocessing HARMONIE-AROME hourly precipitation; QRF is most skillful for high thresholds.

Labels

Topic
Post-processing & calibration, Extremes & hazards
Type
Evaluation or intercomparison of existing models
Method
Classical ML (trees, GP, linear, kernels)
Time scale
6 h–3 days
Domain
Regional
Data
NWP analysis or forecasts (IFS, GFS, ...), Station / in-situ
Status
Research
Identifiers
DOI:10.1175/mwr-d-17-0290.1 OpenAlex:W2830616863
Added
2026-10-22

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