ML4WX

Post-processing & calibrationClassic

Calibrated Ensemble Forecasts Using Quantile Regression Forests and Ensemble Model Output Statistics

Maxime Taillardat, Olivier Mestre, Michaël Zamo, Philippe Naveau

Monthly Weather Review · · Météo-France (incl. CNRM)

Paper

In one sentence. Quantile regression forests calibrate Météo-France ensemble temperature and wind forecasts, outperforming EMOS and giving better-calibrated, sharper probabilistic forecasts from 3 to 54 h.

Labels

Topic
Post-processing & calibration
Type
New model or method
Method
Classical ML (trees, GP, linear, kernels)
Time scale
6 h–3 days
Domain
Regional
Data
NWP analysis or forecasts (IFS, GFS, ...), Station / in-situ
Status
Research
Identifiers
DOI:10.1175/mwr-d-15-0260.1 OpenAlex:W2296277783
Added
2026-10-22

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