paper
2022
Sub-seasonal to seasonal
Extremes & hazards Application study
Other2 weeks–2 monthsNOAA (incl. GFDL, PSL, GSL, NCEP/EMC) Journal
2022-10-06
047
Oct 2022
John R. Albers, Matthew Newman, Andrew Hoell et al.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
NOAA (incl. GFDL, PSL, GSL, NCEP/EMC)
A linear inverse model predicted the February 2021 cold air outbreak four weeks ahead, up to two weeks earlier than numerical models, and estimated it as a top-1% event.
The February 2021 Cold Air Outbreak in the United States: A Subseasonal Forecast of Opportunity
In one sentence. A linear inverse model predicted the February 2021 cold air outbreak four weeks ahead, up to two weeks earlier than numerical models, and estimated it as a top-1% event.
Labels
- Topic
- Sub-seasonal to seasonal, Extremes & hazards
- Type
- Application study
- Method
- Other
- Time scale
- 2 weeks–2 months
- Domain
- Regional
- Data
- ERA5 / reanalysis, NWP analysis or forecasts (IFS, GFS, ...)
- Status
- Research
- Identifiers
- DOI:10.1175/bams-d-21-0266.1 OpenAlex:W4302307328
- Added
- 2026-10-22
Labels and summary are generated by Claude and reviewed weekly. Wrong? Edit this entry.