ML4WX

Extremes & hazards

From Random Forests to Flood Forecasts: A Research to Operations Success Story

Russ S. Schumacher, Aaron J. Hill, Mark Klein, James A. Nelson, Michael J. Erickson, Sarah M. Trojniak, Gregory R. Herman

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · · Colorado State University (incl. CIRA), NOAA (incl. GFDL, PSL, GSL, NCEP/EMC)

PaperPDF

In one sentence. CSU-MLP random-forest excessive rainfall forecasts, built from ensemble reforecasts, were transitioned into operational use at NOAA's Weather Prediction Center.

Labels

Topic
Extremes & hazards, Post-processing & calibration
Type
Operational implementation report
Method
Classical ML (trees, GP, linear, kernels)
Time scale
6 h–3 days, 3–15 days
Domain
Regional
Data
NWP analysis or forecasts (IFS, GFS, ...), Other
Status
Operational
Identifiers
DOI:10.1175/bams-d-20-0186.1 OpenAlex:W3164895358
Added
2026-10-22

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