ML4WX

Extremes & hazards

Gridded Severe Hail Nowcasting Using 3D U-Nets, Lightning Observations, and the Warn-on-Forecast System

Tobias G. Schmidt, Amy McGovern, John T. Allen, Corey K. Potvin, Randy J. Chase, Chad M. Wiley, William R. McGovern-Fagg, Montgomery L. Flora, Cameron R. Homeyer, John Kino Yamaguchi Williams

Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems · · Colorado State University (incl. CIRA), NOAA (incl. GFDL, PSL, GSL, NCEP/EMC), University of Oklahoma (AI2ES)

Paper

In one sentence. A 3D U-Net nowcasts gridded severe hail up to 40 minutes ahead using Warn-on-Forecast and lightning data, beating HAILCAST baselines with max CSI near 0.48 at 20 minutes.

Labels

Topic
Extremes & hazards, Nowcasting
Type
New model or method
Method
CNN / U-Net
Time scale
0–6 h
Domain
Regional
Data
NWP analysis or forecasts (IFS, GFS, ...), Radar, Other
Status
Research
Identifiers
DOI:10.1175/aies-d-24-0026.1 OpenAlex:W4404322442
Added
2026-10-22

Labels and summary are generated by Claude and reviewed weekly. Wrong? Edit this entry.