ML4WX

Post-processing & calibration

Adaptive Blending of Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts with Emphasis on Calibration and Temporal Forecast Consistency

Martin Rempel, Peter Schaumann, Reinhold Hess, Volker Schmidt, Ulrich Blahak

Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems · · Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)

PaperPDF

In one sentence. Neural network blends two precipitation ensembles into calibrated hourly exceedance probabilities for +1 to +6 h, outperforming both inputs at all lead times.

Labels

Topic
Post-processing & calibration, Nowcasting
Type
New model or method
Method
Classical ML (trees, GP, linear, kernels)
Time scale
0–6 h
Domain
Regional
Data
NWP analysis or forecasts (IFS, GFS, ...)
Status
Research
Identifiers
DOI:10.1175/aies-d-22-0020.1 OpenAlex:W4289845923
Added
2026-10-22

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