ML4WX

Data assimilation

Realistic tropical cyclone wind and pressure fields can be reconstructed from sparse data using deep learning

Ryan Eusebi, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Ching‐Yao Lai, Mingjing Tong

Communications Earth & Environment · · California Institute of Technology (Caltech), NOAA (incl. GFDL, PSL, GSL, NCEP/EMC), Princeton University, Stanford University

PaperPDF

In one sentence. A physics-informed neural network reconstructs full 2D and 3D tropical cyclone wind and pressure fields from sparse simulated data and reconstructs Hurricane Ida from real observations.

Abstract

Abstract Tropical cyclones (TCs) are responsible for large-scale loss of life and property, and billions of dollars worth of damage annually. Forecasting is typically accomplished through the use of dynamical models which directly integrate the governing equations of motion. These forecasts, and especially intensity forecasts, rely on accurate initial conditions obtained by assimilating real-time observational data. However, current methods used to generate these initial conditions are computationally expensive and limited, and TC intensity forecasts have much room for improvement. Here, we show that a Physics-Informed Neural Network can provide a promising alternative for data assimilation for TC initial conditions. Using synthetic training data sparsely sampled from hurricanes simulated in a forecast model, a PINN is able to accurately reconstruct full 2- and 3-dimensional wind and pressure fields of a TC. We also demonstrate how a set of sparse, real-time observations, can be used to accurately reconstruct Hurricane Ida. Our results demonstrate how recent advances in computational capabilities and deep learning can be applied to TC data assimilation, offering an accurate and efficient complement to existing data assimilation methods.

Labels

Topic
Data assimilation, Regional & km-scale models
Type
New model or method
Method
Physics-informed / physics-constrained
Domain
Regional
Data
km-scale or high-res simulation, Other
Status
Research
Identifiers
DOI:10.1038/s43247-023-01144-2 OpenAlex:W4390572063
Added
2026-10-22

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